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Prediction markets
11 active markets
· category “Oil”
How it works
How to trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
11%
chance
Yes
No
$801K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$238
62 trading now
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
40+
99%
30+
32%
5 more
$1.03M
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Crude Oil all time high by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$1.72M
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$217
60 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$268K
Vol.
Sep 30
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$98
45 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
68%
20-40
29%
3 more
$155K
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
52 trading now
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
85%
100-124
13%
3 more
$18K
Vol.
Jul 19
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
39 trading now
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$39K
Vol.
Aug 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$76
49 trading now
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
46%
December
12%
5 more
$46K
Vol.
Dec 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$55
41 trading now
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?
300M
96%
285M
72%
4 more
NEW
$303.27
Vol.
Sep 9
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
40 trading now
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
240-249
29%
230-239
28%
4 more
$494.66
Vol.
Jul 26
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$86
35 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
31-33
42%
<25
31%
5 more
$174.81
Vol.
Jul 31
oil
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
30 trading now
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